Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.335687 0.440111 0.554196 0.686247 0.833225 0.990352 1.169663
2025-09-07 0.188881 0.322966 0.487195 0.693772 0.939038 1.214777 1.542671
2025-09-14 0.112877 0.250628 0.437159 0.686831 0.996312 1.355140 1.792040
2025-09-21 0.060211 0.189746 0.387169 0.668552 1.031451 1.463585 2.000115
2025-09-28 0.039873 0.170020 0.386864 0.708920 1.134416 1.648988 2.294910
2025-10-05 0.027444 0.158771 0.395614 0.759128 1.248257 1.846542 2.603493
2025-10-12 0.016843 0.144731 0.396775 0.796690 1.344380 2.021491 2.884449
2025-10-19 0.011867 0.141819 0.414716 0.857218 1.469996 2.232582 3.208800
2025-10-26 0.006911 0.133964 0.422518 0.902095 1.574392 2.417043 3.500907
2025-11-02 0.001931 0.115061 0.407446 0.911345 1.630052 2.539816 3.717639
2025-11-09 NaN 0.080963 0.356143 0.861411 1.602754 2.555985 3.802643
2025-11-16 NaN 0.051501 0.303635 0.803571 1.560499 2.550146 3.858134
2025-11-23 NaN 0.035010 0.274856 0.783127 1.572061 2.616760 4.008405
2025-11-30 NaN 0.026544 0.263671 0.791363 1.624546 2.737242 4.227137
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017478 0.244863 0.783877 1.652702 2.824673 4.403402
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009335 0.220927 0.764285 1.661480 2.885531 4.545516
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008802 0.230511 0.807556 1.764044 3.071311 4.845994
2025-12-28 NaN 0.009255 0.245466 0.861271 1.882487 3.278519 5.173945
2026-01-04 NaN 0.008489 0.253382 0.901385 1.980493 3.458500 5.467477
2026-01-11 NaN 0.009866 0.273809 0.965907 2.115520 3.688258 5.824542
2026-01-18 NaN 0.009757 0.285578 1.013660 2.225306 3.884331 6.138951
2026-01-25 NaN 0.006714 0.278076 1.023494 2.277576 4.003245 6.355205
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001511 0.240283 0.970371 2.232418 3.990095 6.402323